Alpha Algorithmics™

One Decade. Seven Models. Zero Exceptions.

The ERS ALPHA ALGORITHMICS™ system identifies stocks meeting specific quantitative criteria as they qualify — on each stock's own schedule. Across a 10-year historical study (December 2013 through December 2023), every one of ERS's seven models significantly outperformed the S&P 500 on a one-year holding basis. Average excess return across all seven models: 42.8%.

Fiduciary Intelligence Brief · March 2026
RATING PERFORMANCE
↓ Download PDF
7 for 7
Models That Beat the S&P 500
42.8%
Average Excess Return vs. S&P
75%
Average Stock Gain Frequency

SEVEN ERS STOCK SELECTION MODELS — 1-YEAR HOLDING PERIOD RETURNS

10-Year Study: December 2013 – December 2023 · Equal-weighted comparison vs. S&P 500

Model Cos. Model Return S&P 500 Excess % Gains
AA X-F™
Alpha Algorithmics X-Factor
65
123.1%
33.3%
+89.8% 77%
AA 14™
Alpha Algorithmics 14
79
87.2%
29.6%
+57.6% 76%
IA 1™
Income Algorithmics 1
198
63.1%
28.6%
+34.5% 74%
AA 7™
Alpha Algorithmics 7
5
59.4%
13.5%
+45.9% 80%
MCR 1™
Micro-Cap Ratings 1
143
56.0%
21.4%
+34.6% 55%
AA 22™
Alpha Algorithmics 22
37
49.4%
23.7%
+25.7% 89%
AA 18™
Alpha Algorithmics 18
122
36.4%
24.6%
+11.8% 72%
ERS Model Return (1-year) S&P 500 Return (same holding period)

“These models don't predict the future. They identify stocks that have historically demonstrated specific financial characteristics — and they document what happened next. A decade of data is not an accident. It is evidence.”

— Raymond M. Mullaney, Founder & CEO, Equity Risk Sciences · 49 years of investment industry experience

Alpha Algorithmics™ results reflect a historical simulation, not a portfolio. Each stock is identified on the first date it meets the model's criteria; returns are measured from that date over the stated holding period and compared against the S&P 500 for the identical period. Results do not represent actual client trading or account returns. Study period: December 31, 2013 – December 31, 2023. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For registered investment advisors and qualified institutional investors only.